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८ मंसिर २०८२, सोमबार


The Nepal Realignment: Post-Gen-Z Political Tectonics

Kathmandu, Nov 24. The 27-hour Gen-Z Rebellion was not just an event; it was a political earthquake. The aftershocks have been the most aggressive and chaotic period of political restructuring in Nepal’s history. The old comfort zones—the familiar coalitions, the predictable ideological divides—have been shattered.

In the weeks since, every political entity has been caught in a frantic, high-stakes game of survival and opportunity. Below is the most comprehensive mapping of this unprecedented political ‘realignment.’

1. The Big Left Consolidation

  • Nepali Communist Party (NCP – Star symbol) Coordinator: Pushpa Kamal Dahal ‘Prachanda’ Major components merged so far: • CPN (Maoist Centre) • CPN (Unified Socialist) – Madhav Nepal group • Bamdev Gautam’s Nepal Samyabadi Party (the old “star” faction from 2054 split) • 10–12 smaller communist groups (mostly for numbers) • Recent additions: Chiran Pun (ex-Biplav), Rajendra Shrestha (ex-Ashok Rai faction), several district-level leaders from old Janamorcha and CPN-ML → This is now the official main “left pole”.

2. The Anti-Prachanda Left & Splinter Attempts

  • Progressive Democratic Party – PDP (Declared Sunday) Baburam Bhattarai + Janardan Sharma + Durga Sob + Santosh Pariyar (ex-RSP) + several ex-Maoist second-tier leaders. Positioning itself as the “democratic, scientific, modern left”.
  • Ghanshyam Bhusal –– Biplav talks Still in preliminary stage. The trio wants a separate “revolutionary left centre” but strategic differences persist.
  • Biplav’s own NCP Continues to lose cadres (Chiran Pun just left). Biplav is trying to re-brand his party as the “real” successor of the old Maoist armed line ‘CPN(Moaist).

3. Congress Internal Settlement & Generational Shift

  • Acting President Purna Bahadur Khadka officially announced: • Sher Bahadur Deuba is retiring from active politics. • Generational handover will not be delayed under any pretext. → Shekhar Koirala moving towards centre, holding talks with Gagan Thapa & Bishwa Prakash Sharma for a consensus leadership formula.

4. UML – All Energy Directed at Election, Not Unity

  • No major merger talks.
  • Focus: compulsory rallies, internal discipline, preparing for Mangsir national convention where Ishwor Pokhrel will challenge KP Oli (Bidya Bhandari quietly backing the challenger).

5. The Rapidly Growing “Gen-Z & Independent” Cluster

New Party / FrontKey Face(s)Status (as of 22 Nov)Remarks
Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP)Ravi Lamichhane (in jail), Swarnim WaglePreparing to go alone but keeping alliance door openContinuous visits by Gen-Z activists to Nakkhu jail
Ujyalo Nepal PartyKulman Ghising + ex-Gen-Z facesOfficially registeredSeveral known youth activists from the rebellion have joined
Hamro Party NepalKhagendra Sunar
(Gen-Z Campaigner)
Registered SundayDirect outcome of the rebellion
Gen-Z Youth FrontRakshya BamProvincial units being formedNo party registration yet, but functioning as political platform
Shram Sanskriti PartyHarka Sampang (Dharan Mayor)Registered“Labour Culture” branding
Gatishil Loktantrik PartyDinesh Prasai (chair), Birendra Basnet (Buddha Air Owner’s Interest)Active, holding public eventsMedical entrepreneur + business backing
Independent Youth Power (tentative name)Sudan Gurung, James Karki, Anil BaniyaAnnouncement expected soonStill in coordination phase
Possible Balen Shah–led groupBalen Shah + close teamIn dialogue with RSP & othersNo final decision; Balen keeping all options open

6. Madhes & Identity-Based Realignment

Party / FrontKey Face(s)Current Move
Na.U.Pa NepalKabir Sob (chair), Resham Chaudhary (patron)Registered after split from Ranjita’s NUP
National Liberation Front (forming)Resham Chaudhary + Rajendra Mahato + Kabir SobElectoral understanding reached
Janmat PartyCK RautInternal split → breakaway group formed Janaswaraj Party (still fighting for registration)
JSP Nepal (Ashok Rai faction)Ashok RaiLost Rajendra Shrestha to Prachanda’s NCP
Loktantrik Samajbadi Party (LSP)Mahantha ThakurInactive, unable to move
JAP (Upendra Yadav)Upendra YadavExploring fronts, no decision yet

7. Other Notable Individual Movements

  • Santosh Pariyar → left RSP → joined PDP- Led by Dr. Baburam Bhattarai(Patron)
  • Several RSP local leaders in Province-1 and Bagmati quietly shifting to Ujyalo Nepal Party or Hamro Party Nepal
  • A group of ex-Nepal Army and Police personnel (who resigned during the rebellion) reportedly in talks with both Dinesh Prasai’s group and Gen-Z Youth Front.

Ashok Rai, Resham Chaudhary, and Rajendra Mahato’s Alliance,

The Janata Samajwadi Party, Nagarik Unmukti Party Nepal, and Rashtriya Mukti Party Nepal have reached an agreement to contest the upcoming election under a single election symbol. The three parties agreed on Sunday to use the Grindstone (जाँतो – Janto), the election symbol of the Resham Chaudhary-led Nagarik Unmukti Party Nepal, for the election.

Alliance Formed: Janata Samajwadi Party (JSP), Nagarik Unmukti Party Nepal (NUP), and Rashtriya Mukti Party Nepal (RMPN).

Key Leaders: Ashok Rai (JSP), Resham Chaudhary (NUP), and Rajendra Mahato (RMPN).

Election Symbol: Grindstone (जाँतो / Chakiya), the current symbol of the Nagarik Unmukti Party Nepal.

The New Political Geometry

  1. One large “official” communist pole (Prachanda–Madhav–Bamdev star Symbol- party)
  2. Several smaller left competitors trying to occupy the “alternative left” space
  3. Nepali Congress finally moving toward retirement of the old guard
  4. UML staying alone and election-focused
  5. A completely new cluster of 7–10 youth/independent/celebrity-led parties and fronts emerging directly from the Gen-Z Rebellion
  6. Madhes-based parties fragmenting and realigning at high speed

The election in March 6, 2026 is still three months away, but the old political map has already been torn to pieces. Almost every day a new party is registered, a new alliance is announced, or another leader jumps ship. The Gen-Z Rebellion did not just create anger; it created an unprecedented vacuum – and every political actor in Nepal is now racing to fill it before the votes are counted.

  • नेपाल न्युज एजेन्सी प्रा.लि

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